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Agile Publishing Model.

Futurist David Houle

Welcome to the future!  The future of humanity and the future of publishing.

I am very excited about my new book Entering the Shift Age and the new model of publishing Sourcebooks has created, the Agile Publishing Model (APM). The APM is an innovative platform that allows authors to make their content available faster and in a more flexible format. For example, to suit your needs and interests as readers, Sourcebooks offers a variety of ways to purchase the content of Entering the Shift Age, either in individual parts (“mini eBooks”) or as a whole. (Check out “How to Purchase: The Agile Way”.) You can learn more about the APM by watching the video below.

This is part of the future of publishing. Now let’s turn toward our own future, the future of humanity.

We now live in the Shift Age, a time of transformation that will be regarded by future historians as one of the most significant periods in human history. The Shift Age is one of those inflection points or times when much of humanity will change how we live, how we think, how we interact with each other and what we do.


Investing and Economics

As a futurist I am always asked about where to invest and where the “market” is going. I always say, and say here, that I am not an economist, nor an investment advisor. I do though see some long-term trends in these areas.

  • There will be recessions and extreme volatility in most markets for a good bit of the Transformation Decade 2010-2020. This is a result of the debt overhang and over leveraging from the prior decade, from the legacy thinking that is falling away in conflict with the thinking emerging to replace it. Some of the blame for these recessions will be correctly placed at the feet of Industrial Age governments that cannot move quickly and are politically gridlocked. These bureaucratic governments, as discussed earlier, are the slowest moving institutions in developed countries and are therefore no longer able to provide proactive leadership but are in a state of constant reaction to events. Add in the highly partisan political landscape in the United States, among others, over the last few years and the private sector finds that it looks to national governments for direction where there is none.
  • There will be extreme volatility in commodities. Volatility in pricing in general, and availability of products based upon volatile pricing. This will be due in part to climate change It will also change national economies. For example Russia and Canada will become greater agricultural economies. They are the two largest countries geographically and climate change and global warming will increase the already vast amount of land available to agriculture in both countries over the next few decades. The energy sector will also experience great price volatility as the world moves to a more integrated mix of energy sources.
  • The stock markets of the world will stay in high volatility. There are several reasons for this prognosis. Computer trading combined with speed of light connectivity will be a dominant force creating ever more investing based on timing and momentum and less on long term value. Individuals will continue to lose the ability to trade as ever greater amounts of capital move in and out quickly with volume at at speeds the individual cannot match. There may indeed be new types of capital markets created to replace those that thrived in the 20th century.


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