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Agile Publishing Model.

Futurist David Houle

Welcome to the future!  The future of humanity and the future of publishing.

I am very excited about my new book Entering the Shift Age and the new model of publishing Sourcebooks has created, the Agile Publishing Model (APM). The APM is an innovative platform that allows authors to make their content available faster and in a more flexible format. For example, to suit your needs and interests as readers, Sourcebooks offers a variety of ways to purchase the content of Entering the Shift Age, either in individual parts (“mini eBooks”) or as a whole. (Check out “How to Purchase: The Agile Way”.) You can learn more about the APM by watching the video below.

This is part of the future of publishing. Now let’s turn toward our own future, the future of humanity.

We now live in the Shift Age, a time of transformation that will be regarded by future historians as one of the most significant periods in human history. The Shift Age is one of those inflection points or times when much of humanity will change how we live, how we think, how we interact with each other and what we do.


A Systemic Global View

As we move into the Shift Age, the global discussion around energy must change. It must change from the focus on energy sources and finding replacements for them that it has largely been limited to until now, to a larger, more integrated global view. There is no single answer relative to energy sources. It is an “all of the above” situation and answer for the next decade. All current sources of energy will be utilized. Alternative and renewable will grow as a percentage of the whole but will still be only a part of global energy consumption.

It is clear that the thinking about energy will move from being industry specific and nation-specific to being global in construct. We must start to discuss global energy in a systemic way. All forms of energy, old and new, will move toward a blended whole that acknowledges the economic, climatic and social realities now facing humanity.

Rather than making low level arguments for this source or that source of energy, we need to elevate our energy vision to a much more systemic approach that looks at sources, locations and consumption patterns through a global lens. Only at this level can we navigate humanity’s energy future. To use a couple of phrases from R. Buckminster Fuller, we must now have a “design revolution” and utilize “comprehensive anticipatory design science” to architect the vision for global energy for the remainder of the 21st century.

In other words we need to start to look at energy from an integrated global perspective. We have to develop an intelligent, cohesive vision and plan to move the world forward to a new energy age of ever less fossil fuels.

How can we do this?

  • We first have to take a look at the known and projected amounts of energy in the world.
    • How much known resources of fossil fuels are there in the world?
    • What is the 2012 level of hydro, solar, geothermal and biofuel energy generation and what will the growth of each of these be over the next 10 years?
  • Then we have to look at where all these energy resources and sources are and where they are currently consumed.
  • We also need to look at which areas or nations are on their way to energy independence, those with the highest percentage of alternative and renewable energy usage.


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